0xf360e2...ca6726

Smart Score

Win Rate

12.6%

Total P&L

+$7.8K

Trade Count

2,090

Sharpe Ratio

1.00

Sortino Ratio

71.38

Max Drawdown

43.5%

ROI

6.0%

Profit Factor

2.61

Kelly Fraction

0.078

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

052.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	91.2¢	141.82	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	91.2¢	18.739	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	885.37	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	91.2¢	215.4	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.3¢	50	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.2¢	87.69	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.2¢	164	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.1¢	138.99	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	90.1¢	61	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	75.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	75.0¢	97.39	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	74.3¢	223.3	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.8¢	967.75	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.6¢	80	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.7¢	436.83	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	73.6¢	40	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?	SELL	86.1¢	98.72	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	84.4¢	60.92	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	84.4¢	5	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	84.4¢	23.14	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing52.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.5%

Win Consistency49.4%

Profit Factor1.36

Drawdown Resilience1.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.84

Trading Activity2,090 trades · 38 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,47719d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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