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0xf375fd...9498d0

0xf375fd...9498d0
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
91.0%
Total P&L
+$343
Trade Count
2,143
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
0.14
Max Drawdown
5473.6%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.99
Kelly Fraction
0.453
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢15Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?SELL99.9¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢1.4Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?BUY5.0¢14.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?BUY5.0¢5.75Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢8.6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 5?BUY91.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?SELL99.7¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 5?SELL99.0¢19.99Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?SELL97.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?SELL95.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY95.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 5?BUY98.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 5?BUY90.0¢10Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%3%70–80%11%80–90%80%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.51
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.9%
Win Consistency60.1%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.58
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity2,143 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,4019d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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