0xf3822e...924b4a

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.4%

Total P&L

-$59

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.04

Sortino Ratio

0.08

Max Drawdown

5790.9%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.92

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	93.9¢	235.442	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	18.2¢	177.308	Mar 2
Clippers vs. Warriors	BUY	53.0¢	241.509	Mar 2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	70.1¢	160.271	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	112.348	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	308.333	Feb 6
Knicks vs. Pistons	BUY	52.0¢	300	Feb 6
Nets vs. Magic	BUY	81.0¢	171.272	Feb 5
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	32.0¢	300	Feb 4
76ers vs. Clippers	BUY	10.0¢	200	Feb 2
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	122.222	Feb 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	168.421	Jan 1
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-27?	BUY	84.0¢	238.095	Dec 27
Bulls vs. Hornets	BUY	58.0¢	198.276	Dec 12
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	SELL	99.9¢	117.97	Dec 12
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?	BUY	89.0¢	117.978	Dec 11
Bucks vs. Knicks	BUY	27.0¢	200	Nov 28
Giants vs. Lions	BUY	15.0¢	206.667	Nov 22
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)	BUY	88.0¢	307.955	Nov 1
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?	BUY	98.6¢	10.142	Oct 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.8%

Win Consistency43.9%

Profit Factor0.25

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity32 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,3471d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue