0xf3857c...e8057e

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.8%

Total P&L

-$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.05

Sortino Ratio

10.94

Max Drawdown

15778.0%

ROI

-5.1%

Profit Factor

0.60

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	45.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	32.0¢	3.125	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	40.5¢	9.883	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	2.4	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	BUY	41.0¢	2.439	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	SELL	58.0¢	1.89	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	BUY	52.0¢	1.923	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	SELL	56.0¢	1.85	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	BUY	53.0¢	1.887	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	BUY	4.0¢	25	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	BUY	47.0¢	2.128	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	SELL	55.0¢	1.72	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	BUY	57.0¢	1.754	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	1.06	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	SELL	46.0¢	2.14	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	46.0¢	2.174	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	2.18	Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency55.8%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity98 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$241d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue