Accrue
Log inGet Access

0xf3f133...946395

0xf3f133...946395
Smart Score
7
Win Rate
12.9%
Total P&L
+$669
Trade Count
84
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Sortino Ratio
-1.24
Max Drawdown
566.5%
ROI
8.2%
Profit Factor
1.62
Kelly Fraction
0.050
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
06.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL5.3¢1,159.17Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?SELL5.9¢895.42Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY9.0¢444.444Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY6.0¢1,000Mar 2
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL41.1¢762.18Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL7.5¢1,473.74Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY19.0¢1,052.632Feb 28
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY10.5¢473.74Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL97.0¢294.11Feb 28
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY42.8¢326.901Feb 25
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY3.9¢763.043Feb 25
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.8¢1,786.032Feb 25
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" in February?BUY16.5¢151.187Feb 25
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?SELL46.0¢762.18Feb 24
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY10.0¢1,346.6Feb 23
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY14.0¢1,000Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY17.0¢294.118Feb 21
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL43.5¢479.03Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY6.8¢367.647Feb 19
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?BUY1.9¢1,052.632Feb 19

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%37%< 10%19%10–20%18%20–30%16%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%
Win Consistency15.6%
Profit Factor0.18
Drawdown Resilience0.14
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14
Weekly Sharpe est.0.11
Trading Activity83 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5806d profit20d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics