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0xf3fda1...0264bd

0xf3fda1...0264bd
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
43.5%
Total P&L
+$25
Trade Count
116
Sharpe Ratio
1.56
Sortino Ratio
8.01
Max Drawdown
105.6%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.72
Kelly Fraction
0.182
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢5.12Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.6¢5.123Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL96.3¢10.36Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY96.5¢10.363Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢5.16Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.9¢5.16Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.27Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL82.0¢8.33Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL76.0¢9.18Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY98.0¢9.184Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢8.333Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢6.07Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢6.075Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY99.0¢10.105Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10PM ETBUY99.8¢10.02Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢18.87Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.9¢9.27Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.9¢5.269Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY53.0¢18.868Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%11%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%11%50–70%4%70–80%10%80–90%54%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%
Win Consistency51.1%
Profit Factor0.71
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.44
Trading Activity116 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1603d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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