0xf40f82...0ec3bc

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.0%

Total P&L

-$1.9K

Trade Count

3,880

Sharpe Ratio

-0.18

Sortino Ratio

-0.92

Max Drawdown

2128.9%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.59

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	49.9¢	600	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	600	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	50.0¢	400	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.1¢	400	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	40.0¢	350	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	40.2¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.6¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	60.6¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	63.2¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.8¢	167.61	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.8¢	30.864	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	64.8¢	1.543	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	64.9¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	181.55	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	45.872	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	198.777	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	7.645	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	30.581	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	7.645	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	65.4¢	5	Mar 5

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%

Win Consistency31.2%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity3,861 trades · 87 active days

P&L Calendar

$39,8789d profit76d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue