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0xf44a31...3d4cbd

0xf44a31...3d4cbd
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
23.6%
Total P&L
+$434
Trade Count
3,927
Sharpe Ratio
1.19
Sortino Ratio
116.69
Max Drawdown
1418.0%
ROI
37.1%
Profit Factor
0.28
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
08.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.6¢250Mar 5
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.1¢311.22Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢20.41Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.149Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.159Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.239Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.088Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢21.707Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.199Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢22.038Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢21.938Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢21.938Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢21.827Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢9.286Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢107Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢29Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢2Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢8Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢10Mar 5
Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.4¢24Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%99%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%
Win Consistency61.6%
Profit Factor0.23
Drawdown Resilience0.18
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18
Weekly Sharpe est.0.14
Trading Activity3,927 trades · 44 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$36939d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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