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0xf4d0b6...be4637

0xf4d0b6...be4637
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
79.7%
Total P&L
+$12.2K
Trade Count
3,495
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
0.56
Max Drawdown
136.4%
ROI
2.7%
Profit Factor
2.65
Kelly Fraction
0.496
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?BUY96.6¢20.1Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL10.0¢5.74Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?BUY93.2¢28Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 2 - March 8 be less than 15,500,000?BUY93.2¢10.368Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL10.0¢93Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL10.0¢10Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL10.0¢50Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL10.0¢2.24Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 8 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?BUY95.6¢10Mar 5
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 8 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?BUY95.6¢9.98Mar 5
Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027?BUY97.5¢5Mar 5
Will the U.S. national debt hit $39 trillion before 2027?BUY99.3¢19.64Mar 5
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?BUY97.1¢10.91Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?BUY97.1¢209.09Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 8 be less than 2,000,000?BUY96.1¢95Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY91.0¢3.016Mar 4
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 5 be greater than 2,800,000?BUY97.4¢26.673Mar 4
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in March 2026?BUY97.7¢80Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY99.9¢500Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY99.9¢1,000Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%12%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.96
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.5%
Win Consistency64.4%
Profit Factor0.93
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity3,495 trades · 227 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$192,54566d profit161d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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