0xf4d676...43d65f

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.9%

Total P&L

-$13.8K

Trade Count

999

Sharpe Ratio

0.87

Sortino Ratio

17.19

Max Drawdown

312.6%

ROI

-39.0%

Profit Factor

0.33

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	BUY	39.0¢	14.54	Feb 25
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	BUY	39.0¢	241.458	Feb 25
Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition	BUY	40.0¢	100	Feb 25
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	75.0¢	3,187	Feb 18
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	17.88	Feb 12
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	BUY	71.0¢	20	Feb 6
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	44.6¢	242.65	Jan 28
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	BUY	69.0¢	13	Jan 26
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	9.0¢	93.71	Jan 25
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	BUY	70.0¢	16.12	Jan 24
Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28?	BUY	65.0¢	14.02	Jan 23
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game?	BUY	9.0¢	30.4	Jan 23
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BUY	84.0¢	34.27	Jan 22
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?	BUY	97.4¢	25.47	Jan 20
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?	BUY	27.0¢	6.02	Jan 16
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	24.0¢	18.3	Jan 15
Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?	BUY	33.0¢	21.02	Jan 14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	BUY	27.0¢	27.2	Jan 13
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	BUY	27.0¢	13.699	Jan 13
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	BUY	27.0¢	1,095.315	Jan 13

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.2%

Win Consistency44.1%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity999 trades · 67 active days

P&L Calendar

$29,7183d profit64d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue