0xf4db72...1b7ecb

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.8%

Total P&L

+$1.6K

Trade Count

927

Sharpe Ratio

0.72

Sortino Ratio

122.14

Max Drawdown

2054.6%

ROI

21.5%

Profit Factor

11.30

Kelly Fraction

0.581

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	85.7¢	10.79	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	53.0¢	4.75	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	80.4¢	32.46	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	2.547	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	78.2¢	9.476	Mar 5
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	89.0¢	5.697	Mar 5
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	87.9¢	1.251	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	SELL	80.0¢	1.95	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	81.0¢	1.951	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	74.0¢	4.932	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.9¢	9.157	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	74.0¢	1.486	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	73.9¢	4.871	Mar 5
Islanders vs. Ducks	SELL	11.0¢	9.8	Mar 4
Islanders vs. Ducks	BUY	15.0¢	9.8	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	60.0¢	4.75	Mar 4
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	BUY	90.9¢	3.85	Mar 4
Will "Stabilization" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	SELL	87.0¢	1.14	Mar 4
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	SELL	78.3¢	14.25	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.7%

Win Consistency42.0%

Profit Factor1.31

Drawdown Resilience1.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity927 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$4475d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue