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0xf4fe4a...42f6e7

0xf4fe4a...42f6e7
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
86.6%
Total P&L
+$989
Trade Count
3,960
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53
Sortino Ratio
-0.40
Max Drawdown
2001.7%
ROI
2.5%
Profit Factor
1.74
Kelly Fraction
0.368
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.0¢10.101Mar 5
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY99.6¢5.02Mar 5
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY96.8¢2.066Mar 5
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY98.8¢2.024Mar 5
Will the Climate fund initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY99.3¢2.014Mar 5
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY91.2¢3.289Mar 5
Will the SBC initiative be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY91.2¢2.193Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY99.1¢5.046Mar 5
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?BUY99.0¢10.101Mar 5
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?BUY96.2¢2.079Mar 5
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?BUY98.0¢5.102Mar 5
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY98.4¢10.163Mar 5
Will Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?BUY97.0¢2.062Mar 4
Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi?BUY98.7¢5.066Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY98.7¢5.066Mar 4
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?BUY97.8¢2.045Mar 4
Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?BUY96.5¢2.073Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?BUY99.4¢10.06Mar 4
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?BUY98.9¢10.111Mar 4
Will Cliff Johnson be the Democratic Nominee for MS-01?BUY97.0¢5.155Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%96%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%
Win Consistency65.8%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity3,960 trades · 61 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$38,7890d profit61d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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