0xf500dd...09894a

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.0%

Total P&L

+$37

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.98

Sortino Ratio

-1.17

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

2.33

Kelly Fraction

0.205

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,279.211	Mar 5
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	326.23	Mar 5
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.3¢	326.234	Feb 9
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	10.65	Feb 8
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.65	Feb 8
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	99.6¢	305.64	Feb 7
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	99.7¢	305.64	Feb 6
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	5	Feb 5
XRP Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.47	Feb 5
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.1¢	314.17	Feb 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	314.173	Feb 3
XRP Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	11	Feb 3
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	304.37	Feb 2
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	304.375	Feb 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 12AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	15.5	Feb 1
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	310.87	Feb 1
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.7¢	310.872	Jan 31
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	15	Jan 30
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	259.82	Jan 29
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	259.829	Jan 29

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.2%

Win Consistency16.0%

Profit Factor0.86

Drawdown Resilience0.70

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70

Weekly Sharpe est.0.53

Trading Activity45 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$14211d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue