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0xf53b6d...dd9c48

0xf53b6d...dd9c48
Smart Score
37
Win Rate
85.6%
Total P&L
+$30.8K
Trade Count
119
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.03
Max Drawdown
393.5%
ROI
3.2%
Profit Factor
354.35
Kelly Fraction
0.853
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
036.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?BUY99.7¢10.03Jan 19
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. MH Maccabi Tel Aviv end in a draw?BUY10.0¢11Dec 11
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2025-11-18?BUY20.0¢6.8Nov 18
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?BUY98.4¢118Nov 18
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?BUY97.1¢6.16Oct 17
Will XRP reach $6.00 in October?BUY99.7¢50Oct 17
Will Lazio win the 2025–26 Serie A league?BUY99.8¢4.609Sep 14
Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?BUY99.8¢7.615Sep 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on September 15?BUY99.9¢8.008Sep 14
Will Michael McDowell win the Irish Presidential Election?BUY99.9¢3.503Sep 14
Will Solana reach $340 in August?BUY98.7¢9.3Aug 11
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?BUY99.6¢24.52Aug 11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY99.9¢5.605Jul 31
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?BUY98.8¢6.377Jul 31
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?BUY99.4¢4.427Jul 31
Will Alpine finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?BUY99.9¢3.504Jul 16
Will Mercedes finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Constructors' Championship?BUY99.7¢7.221Jul 16
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 League of Legends Esports World Cup Tournament?BUY99.7¢6.218Jul 16
Will Greens win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?BUY99.8¢5.01Jun 30
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?BUY99.8¢5.01Jun 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%71%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing36.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.02
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.4%
Win Consistency75.5%
Profit Factor0.95
Drawdown Resilience0.77
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.77
Weekly Sharpe est.0.59
Trading Activity55 trades · 19 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4541d profit18d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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