0xf56467...2038a3

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.9%

Total P&L

-$207

Trade Count

326

Sharpe Ratio

-0.35

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

18359.8%

ROI

-10.9%

Profit Factor

0.53

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	7.703	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	6.133	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	6.133	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	0.48	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	12.267	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	90.0¢	6.611	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	52.0¢	46.02	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	20.784	Feb 24
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	SELL	97.8¢	1.65	Feb 24
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	97.2¢	6.65	Feb 24
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	25.243	Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	1.66	Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.8¢	1.66	Feb 22
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	1.66	Feb 22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.8¢	1.66	Feb 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.6%

Win Consistency41.8%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity326 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,03714d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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