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0xf57973...98b6a9

0xf57973...98b6a9
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
29.5%
Total P&L
+$86
Trade Count
157
Sharpe Ratio
1.26
Sortino Ratio
11.26
Max Drawdown
123.8%
ROI
2.4%
Profit Factor
1.38
Kelly Fraction
0.082
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US strikes Iraq by March 7?BUY73.0¢54.795Mar 5
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?BUY54.0¢111.111Mar 4
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY16.0¢31.25Mar 4
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY67.0¢44.776Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL55.0¢98.61Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL87.0¢108.69Mar 4
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY17.8¢56.18Mar 4
Will Sentimental Value win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY2.1¢236.97Mar 4
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY2.8¢179.716Mar 4
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY1.2¢423.75Mar 4
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4¢1,250Mar 4
Will Joachim Trier win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.4¢1,250Mar 4
Will Chloé Zhao win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY1.0¢496.595Mar 4
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY17.7¢28.173Mar 4
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY67.0¢74.627Mar 4
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY5.0¢20Mar 4
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?SELL21.0¢56.6Mar 4
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?SELL32.0¢18.51Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?SELL59.0¢49.28Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY46.8¢64.085Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%19%< 10%17%10–20%5%20–30%12%30–50%32%50–70%11%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.46
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.1%
Win Consistency41.5%
Profit Factor0.69
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity157 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5862d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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