0xf57fdc...fb6bfd

Smart Score

Win Rate

27.0%

Total P&L

+$28

Trade Count

220

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

2.27

Max Drawdown

2233.5%

ROI

5.3%

Profit Factor

1.17

Kelly Fraction

0.039

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	BUY	9.4¢	10.638	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?	BUY	3.7¢	27.027	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?	BUY	46.2¢	2.165	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?	BUY	45.0¢	2.222	Mar 1
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	BUY	11.4¢	8.772	Mar 1
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	BUY	11.7¢	8.547	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28
Trump declares election interference national emergency?	BUY	22.0¢	4.545	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	BUY	49.0¢	2.041	Feb 28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	60.0¢	3.333	Feb 28
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	2.778	Feb 28
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.0¢	1.163	Feb 28
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	BUY	6.6¢	15.149	Feb 28

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency28.3%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity220 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1372d profit32d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue