0xf5a32c...34203a

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.7%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

834

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

1.22

Max Drawdown

15177.6%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.97

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

012.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31?	BUY	36.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	BUY	16.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	37.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	37.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	SELL	22.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	37.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	35.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	36.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	20.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	35.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	21.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	BUY	18.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	15.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	15.6¢	6.58	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	70.0¢	15	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	69.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	59.0¢	5	Mar 3
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	60.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.6¢	12.5	Mar 3

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing12.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.1%

Win Consistency48.1%

Profit Factor0.32

Drawdown Resilience0.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.20

Trading Activity834 trades · 55 active days

P&L Calendar

$41220d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue