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0xf5d133...c069ea

0xf5d133...c069ea
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
80.0%
Total P&L
+$35
Trade Count
50
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Sortino Ratio
-0.03
Max Drawdown
64.7%
ROI
1.5%
Profit Factor
3.77
Kelly Fraction
0.588
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY99.9¢92.092Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY98.6¢53.332Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?BUY97.9¢10.01Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 9-15?BUY99.9¢55.055Feb 14
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 9-15?BUY99.2¢52.419Feb 14
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?BUY99.7¢48.144Feb 14
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group StageBUY83.0¢55.422Feb 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?BUY99.6¢22.088Feb 4
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.2% in January?BUY99.8¢22.044Feb 3
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on February 4?BUY99.9¢55.055Feb 3
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in January?BUY99.7¢46.138Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY99.8¢49.098Jan 30
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on January 31?BUY99.8¢46.092Jan 30
US government shutdown Saturday?BUY69.0¢2.899Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?BUY99.9¢144.144Jan 20
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?BUY99.3¢142.953Jan 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 13?BUY99.9¢142.142Jan 12
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢142.142Jan 6
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 5?BUY99.9¢142.142Jan 4
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY99.9¢85.085Dec 31

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%74%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.70
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.7%
Win Consistency44.0%
Profit Factor1.28
Drawdown Resilience1.03
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03
Weekly Sharpe est.0.79
Trading Activity50 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2,2780d profit34d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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