0xf5d87a...ba2ced

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.9%

Total P&L

-$112

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.56

Sortino Ratio

-0.70

Max Drawdown

197.0%

ROI

-15.9%

Profit Factor

0.01

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 6?	BUY	99.8¢	59.118	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	70.281	Feb 28
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	146.146	Feb 27
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of February?	BUY	99.7¢	20.06	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	3.003	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -1°C or below on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	26.026	Feb 17
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?	BUY	99.6¢	16.064	Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on February 3?	BUY	99.9¢	29.029	Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on February 3?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Feb 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C on February 2?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Feb 2
Magic vs. Heat	BUY	59.0¢	191.525	Jan 28
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 38°F or higher on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	22.022	Jan 26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?	BUY	99.8¢	30.06	Jan 25
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 36-37°F on January 26?	BUY	99.8¢	30.06	Jan 25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 31°F or below on January 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Jan 25
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	41.041	Jan 9
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on January 10?	BUY	99.9¢	41.041	Jan 9
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	7.007	Dec 30
Will Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	16.016	Dec 30
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 29 above $430?	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Dec 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.15

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.5%

Win Consistency22.2%

Profit Factor0.07

Drawdown Resilience0.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity20 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$7040d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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