0xf5db11...82f4a5

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.4%

Total P&L

+$110

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.94

Sortino Ratio

19.42

Max Drawdown

442.9%

ROI

19.2%

Profit Factor

6.16

Kelly Fraction

0.263

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?	BUY	27.0¢	10	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	96.0¢	56.68	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	96.0¢	68.1	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	96.0¢	5.22	Feb 28
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	26.0¢	15.385	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	BUY	27.0¢	18.519	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BUY	59.0¢	8.475	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BUY	16.1¢	31	Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	BUY	12.9¢	15.503	Feb 17
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	0.3¢	57.14	Feb 17
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	25.0¢	20	Feb 14
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	40.0¢	76.92	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	BUY	1.0¢	100	Feb 14
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	3.5¢	57.143	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?	SELL	2.6¢	50	Feb 10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	BUY	26.0¢	7.692	Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BUY	24.0¢	4.167	Feb 6
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	2	Feb 6

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.39

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.5%

Win Consistency61.1%

Profit Factor1.13

Drawdown Resilience0.91

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.91

Weekly Sharpe est.0.69

Trading Activity61 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

+$858d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue