0xf5eeec...564660

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.7%

Total P&L

+$559

Trade Count

121

Sharpe Ratio

-0.84

Sortino Ratio

-0.74

Max Drawdown

5568.8%

ROI

12.9%

Profit Factor

13.62

Kelly Fraction

0.646

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on November 17?	BUY	99.8¢	5	Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in London be 40°F or below on November 18?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 3?	BUY	50.0¢	824	Nov 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.2%

Win Consistency38.7%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity27 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4851d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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