0xf6099a...dfe68b

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.1%

Total P&L

+$1.2K

Trade Count

3,500

Sharpe Ratio

0.38

Sortino Ratio

22.32

Max Drawdown

33.2%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

3.68

Kelly Fraction

0.263

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

062.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 5?	SELL	93.1¢	7	Mar 5
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	7	Mar 5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	SELL	24.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December?	SELL	89.0¢	6	Mar 5
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	71.0¢	10	Mar 5
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	13.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?	BUY	74.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	BUY	19.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?	BUY	40.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,400 (LOW) in December?	BUY	52.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?	SELL	43.0¢	6	Mar 4
Mezo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	8.7¢	16.897	Mar 4
Mezo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	83.0¢	17	Mar 4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 5?	BUY	27.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 5?	BUY	54.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $560 end of March?	BUY	85.0¢	111	Mar 4
Will Meta (META) close above $580 end of March?	BUY	12.0¢	111	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?	BUY	69.9¢	4.993	Mar 4
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?	BUY	28.0¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active62.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)56.8%

Win Consistency54.6%

Profit Factor1.62

Drawdown Resilience1.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.31

Weekly Sharpe est.1.00

Trading Activity3,500 trades · 121 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,90446d profit74d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue