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0xf6154a...d8c39b

0xf6154a...d8c39b
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
69.6%
Total P&L
+$87
Trade Count
77
Sharpe Ratio
-1.16
Sortino Ratio
-0.86
Max Drawdown
1552.9%
ROI
0.4%
Profit Factor
1208.24
Kelly Fraction
0.695
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ETBUY99.6¢7.028Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.5¢6.21Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢6.211Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.6¢5.22Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.7¢5.225Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.8¢7.014Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.8¢6.34Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢6.337Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢6.33Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢6.336Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢5.37Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢8.25Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢6.25Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.9¢8.256Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.8Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY93.0¢5.376Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.8¢8.88Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢8.883Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%5%70–80%80–90%92%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.39
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.0%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor0.66
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity77 trades · 7 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2800d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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