0xf6465f...b63f62

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.6%

Total P&L

+$17

Trade Count

446

Sharpe Ratio

-1.73

Sortino Ratio

-1.65

Max Drawdown

36634.6%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

2.15

Kelly Fraction

0.351

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	17.172	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	11.55	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	6.18	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.9¢	8.33	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8PM ET	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.4¢	9.31	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	9.298	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	10.32	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	10.32	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	98.0¢	5.1	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	14.75	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	9.128	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	61.0¢	14.754	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	15.69	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	15.686	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	6.12	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	9.82	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	9.825	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.73

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.0%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity446 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$5248d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue