0xf6eec7...11cccf

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.2%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.36

Sortino Ratio

4.18

Max Drawdown

12.2%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

8.32

Kelly Fraction

0.477

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

068.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.4¢	100	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	94.5¢	100	Feb 28
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	92.0¢	100	Feb 13
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.2¢	100	Feb 8
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.2¢	100	Feb 6
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?	SELL	98.2¢	100	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?	BUY	98.5¢	100	Feb 2
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	117.942	Jan 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	99.3¢	116.35	Jan 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.6¢	116.356	Jan 19
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	100	Jan 13
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Jan 13
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	5.7¢	100	Jan 10
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	100	Jan 9
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	SELL	98.2¢	100	Jan 6
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	BUY	98.4¢	100	Jan 5
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	99.8¢	110.53	Jan 3
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	110.532	Dec 24
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	97.2¢	100	Dec 19
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.0¢	100	Dec 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active68.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.2%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor1.78

Drawdown Resilience1.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.44

Weekly Sharpe est.1.09

Trading Activity48 trades · 43 active days

P&L Calendar

$20820d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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