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0xf70f16...ad1b9a

0xf70f16...ad1b9a
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
33.5%
Total P&L
+$17.7K
Trade Count
3,934
Sharpe Ratio
0.40
Sortino Ratio
3.10
Max Drawdown
671.3%
ROI
7.0%
Profit Factor
2.55
Kelly Fraction
0.204
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY90.0¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY90.0¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY89.0¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY90.0¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY55.6¢21Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY54.9¢18.78Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?SELL0.9¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY74.0¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY82.6¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY60.0¢40Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY88.5¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY83.7¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY83.9¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY87.3¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY70.7¢20Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY69.8¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.1¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY1.1¢5Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY88.6¢10Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL74.9¢45.23Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%40%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%5%50–70%7%70–80%11%80–90%28%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.4%
Win Consistency40.5%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity3,934 trades · 49 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$37,95219d profit30d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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