0xf711b4...78d388

Smart Score

Win Rate

39.3%

Total P&L

+$343

Trade Count

1,883

Sharpe Ratio

1.07

Sortino Ratio

12.14

Max Drawdown

265.8%

ROI

7.9%

Profit Factor

1.25

Kelly Fraction

0.078

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	27.089	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	SELL	87.1¢	6.28	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	79.0¢	6.329	Mar 5
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-05?	BUY	34.0¢	14.706	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	9.0¢	55.556	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	18.0¢	32.222	Feb 28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-28?	BUY	46.0¢	21.739	Feb 28
Will the US strike Cuba next?	BUY	1.2¢	403.049	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	6.2¢	48.387	Feb 28
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?	BUY	4.0¢	125	Feb 28
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	SELL	65.1¢	5.62	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	26.0¢	20.83	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	20.833	Feb 28
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	50.0¢	2.3	Feb 28
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	50.0¢	3.32	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	50.0¢	5.62	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	50.0¢	5.62	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on February 26?	BUY	1.2¢	5.62	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 26?	BUY	2.9¢	5.62	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on February 26?	BUY	1.6¢	5.62	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.2%

Win Consistency69.8%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity1,883 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,5590d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue