0xf7182e...d197e7

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.4%

Total P&L

+$291

Trade Count

376

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.63

Max Drawdown

325.1%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.091

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

019.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Chinese Taipei make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?	BUY	98.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	300	Mar 3
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	BUY	93.0¢	200	Feb 28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	SELL	87.0¢	115.54	Feb 22
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	300	Feb 20
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	300	Feb 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	100	Feb 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	82.0¢	15.54	Feb 20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	239.01	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	9.091	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	36.364	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	3.31	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	3.05	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	52.5	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	52.7	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	33.33	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	6.83	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	11.091	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	2.22	Feb 16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	45.455	Feb 16

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing19.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.08

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.9%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.51

Drawdown Resilience0.41

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41

Weekly Sharpe est.0.32

Trading Activity376 trades · 65 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,32016d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue