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0xf75af3...498816

0xf75af3...498816
Smart Score
44
Win Rate
74.5%
Total P&L
+$83
Trade Count
301
Sharpe Ratio
0.76
Sortino Ratio
15.10
Max Drawdown
1126.0%
ROI
5.6%
Profit Factor
2.46
Kelly Fraction
0.443
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
043.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY86.0¢17.442Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY73.0¢13.986Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?BUY61.0¢23.38Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY75.0¢12.627Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY75.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY60.0¢4.3Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY60.0¢25Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY59.0¢21.051Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL71.0¢2.17Mar 3
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL50.3¢0.06Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL71.0¢0.17Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL71.0¢0.31Mar 3
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?SELL71.0¢0.02Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL80.0¢4.87Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL80.0¢0.79Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL80.0¢0.11Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL80.0¢0.19Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL79.0¢6.66Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL79.0¢10.66Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL79.0¢0.06Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%9%30–50%25%50–70%13%70–80%15%80–90%34%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing43.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.41
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.0%
Win Consistency49.0%
Profit Factor1.14
Drawdown Resilience0.92
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92
Weekly Sharpe est.0.70
Trading Activity301 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3873d profit17d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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