0xf761b2...da72ac

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.1%

Total P&L

+$660

Trade Count

770

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

44.2%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

17.18

Kelly Fraction

0.773

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	14.184	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	97.0¢	12.35	Jan 24
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	97.1¢	12.358	Jan 24
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.2¢	18.12	Oct 9
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.3¢	18.127	Oct 9
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.3¢	15.09	Sep 17
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.4¢	15.091	Sep 17
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.3¢	20.12	Jul 31
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.4¢	20.121	Jul 31
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	87.79	Jan 1
Crystal Palace wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	87.791	Jan 1
Southampton wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	87.84	Dec 31
Southampton wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.7¢	87.843	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	88.01	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	88.012	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	88.08	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	88.082	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	88.15	Dec 31
Fulham wins the Premier League?	BUY	99.6¢	88.143	Dec 31
West Ham United wins the Premier League?	SELL	99.5¢	88.22	Dec 31

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.0%

Win Consistency52.9%

Profit Factor1.51

Drawdown Resilience1.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Trading Activity9 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$140d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue