0xf77257...f0dbf9

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.2%

Total P&L

+$357

Trade Count

3,623

Sharpe Ratio

0.80

Sortino Ratio

3.67

Max Drawdown

771.2%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

5.11

Kelly Fraction

0.452

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	2.373	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	25.392	Mar 5
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	16.9¢	42.46	Mar 4
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	18.017	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	5.2	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.23	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.23	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	0.23	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	63.0¢	1.93	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	63.0¢	28.746	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	19.56	Mar 4
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?	BUY	95.1¢	32.482	Mar 4
Will Canada strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.9¢	36.151	Mar 4
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?	SELL	89.0¢	2.08	Mar 4
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	70.4¢	0.69	Mar 4
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	70.4¢	1.2	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	16.2¢	6.235	Mar 4
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	70.4¢	3.81	Mar 4
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	SELL	70.3¢	1.89	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	30.0¢	2.54	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.4%

Win Consistency62.3%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.96

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.96

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity3,623 trades · 64 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,41721d profit42d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue