0xf784e9...1fab48

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$131.0K

Trade Count

3,275

Sharpe Ratio

0.65

Sortino Ratio

13.29

Max Drawdown

122.4%

ROI

120.5%

Profit Factor

9.32

Kelly Fraction

0.596

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

053.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	37.8¢	67.29	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	57.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	37.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	57.0¢	3.9	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	57.0¢	6.1	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	59.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	66.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	29.0¢	100	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?	BUY	7.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	55.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	9.59	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	5.398	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	80.9¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 15, 2026?	BUY	1.0¢	30	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	87.0¢	50	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	19.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	14.99	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing53.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)48.6%

Win Consistency71.8%

Profit Factor1.39

Drawdown Resilience1.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.85

Trading Activity3,275 trades · 68 active days

P&L Calendar

$32,41918d profit50d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue