0xf7a4f1...1cf148

0xf7a4f1...1cf148
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
32.7%
Total P&L
+$2.2K
Trade Count
990
Sharpe Ratio
1.01
Sortino Ratio
5.52
Max Drawdown
440.7%
ROI
31.9%
Profit Factor
1.24
Kelly Fraction
0.064
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
024.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY6.8¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY71.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY71.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY71.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY71.0¢17Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?SELL34.0¢12.25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY30.0¢26.19Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY30.0¢1.57Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY30.0¢5.24Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY25.3¢102.717Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY28.7¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY29.3¢81Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY22.0¢9.52Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY22.0¢9.52Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY23.0¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY27.0¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY14.0¢15.881Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY14.0¢86.69Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY14.0¢13.306Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?BUY23.0¢23Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%25%10–20%26%20–30%25%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.64
Drawdown Resilience0.52
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52
Weekly Sharpe est.0.39
Trading Activity990 trades · 11 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5,8190d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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