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0xf7a8a2...909f68

0xf7a8a2...909f68
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
19.5%
Total P&L
+$357
Trade Count
1,375
Sharpe Ratio
0.96
Sortino Ratio
8.92
Max Drawdown
150.9%
ROI
7.9%
Profit Factor
1.67
Kelly Fraction
0.078
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 6?BUY17.0¢15Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY20.4¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 6?BUY33.0¢8.2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 5?BUY0.9¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on March 6?BUY34.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY21.0¢9Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY21.0¢15.03Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on March 6?BUY17.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY18.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?BUY18.0¢16Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?BUY15.0¢1.918Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 5?SELL0.4¢15.06Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?BUY15.0¢1.176Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?BUY9.0¢11.111Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on March 5?SELL15.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?BUY15.0¢1.27Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on March 6?BUY15.0¢1.176Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on March 6?BUY6.0¢35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?SELL95.0¢15.93Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?SELL95.0¢14.07Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%37%< 10%26%10–20%17%20–30%12%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency43.9%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity1,375 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$26720d profit13d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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