0xf7c8e1...675aba

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.4%

Total P&L

+$764

Trade Count

920

Sharpe Ratio

0.30

Sortino Ratio

0.56

Max Drawdown

183.3%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

1.06

Kelly Fraction

0.028

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?	SELL	73.7¢	100	Oct 25
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?	SELL	58.6¢	200	Oct 25
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?	SELL	57.4¢	215	Oct 25
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?	SELL	44.2¢	105	Oct 25
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	SELL	37.5¢	420	Oct 25
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?	BUY	54.0¢	200	Oct 24
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	BUY	41.0¢	170	Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	SELL	0.4¢	130.29	Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	SELL	72.7¢	20	Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	SELL	72.5¢	774.4	Oct 24
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?	BUY	65.4¢	924.694	Oct 24
Will Powell say "Update" during October press conference?	BUY	62.0¢	20	Oct 24
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	BUY	40.8¢	50	Oct 24
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October?	BUY	52.0¢	30	Oct 23
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?	BUY	49.5¢	40	Oct 23
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during October press conference?	BUY	42.8¢	200	Oct 23
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?	BUY	31.0¢	50	Oct 23
Will Leavitt say "Tariff" during next White House press briefing?	BUY	30.0¢	100	Oct 23
Will Leavitt say "National Guard" during next White House press briefing?	BUY	46.5¢	230	Oct 23
Will Leavitt say "Antifa" during next White House press briefing?	BUY	61.0¢	100	Oct 23

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.63

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.4%

Win Consistency48.1%

Profit Factor0.30

Drawdown Resilience0.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity920 trades · 48 active days

P&L Calendar

$18,20610d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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