0xf7cb4f...e922ba

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.9%

Total P&L

+$22

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.53

Sortino Ratio

0.86

Max Drawdown

60.0%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

250.12

Kelly Fraction

0.766

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

055.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.4¢	200	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	96.4¢	200	Mar 2
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.9¢	200	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	196.65	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.4¢	190	Jan 21
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	180	Jan 18
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?	SELL	0.8¢	130	Jan 15
Will Solana dip to $80 in January?	BUY	1.0¢	130	Jan 14
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.4¢	190	Jan 13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.6¢	190	Jan 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.8¢	185.341	Dec 30
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	180	Dec 30
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.8¢	180	Dec 29
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?	BUY	99.2¢	185.131	Dec 23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	3.0¢	140	Dec 21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.2¢	140	Dec 17
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.0¢	180	Dec 10
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	98.0¢	180	Dec 9
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	0.9¢	180	Dec 3
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	0.8¢	180	Dec 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active55.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)50.9%

Win Consistency42.9%

Profit Factor1.45

Drawdown Resilience1.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.89

Trading Activity35 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,29213d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue