0xf7cd6b...793689

Smart Score

Win Rate

84.0%

Total P&L

+$23

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

-0.32

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

461.0%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.09

Kelly Fraction

0.067

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	16.706	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	26.136	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	27.711	Feb 25
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	99.9¢	16.636	Feb 19
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	17.094	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	20.577	Feb 11
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	26.036	Jan 30
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	13.903	Jan 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	3.5¢	61.429	Jan 19
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.2¢	15.158	Jan 13
Trump out as President in 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	16.329	Dec 27
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	98.6¢	8.783	Dec 25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	94.0¢	13.734	Dec 5
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	64.0¢	170.25	Nov 20
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	105.378	Oct 26
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.3¢	136.439	Sep 16
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?	BUY	99.1¢	124.067	Jul 27
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	SELL	78.0¢	163.58	Jul 21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?	BUY	85.0¢	163.588	Jun 29
Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	SELL	99.6¢	140.91	Jun 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%

Win Consistency66.3%

Profit Factor0.34

Drawdown Resilience0.27

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27

Weekly Sharpe est.0.21

Trading Activity70 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,24513d profit49d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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