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0xf7e52b...2ef6fc

0xf7e52b...2ef6fc
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
14.7%
Total P&L
+$142.5K
Trade Count
1,712
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Sortino Ratio
40.25
Max Drawdown
380.2%
ROI
228.9%
Profit Factor
31.58
Kelly Fraction
0.143
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY19.0¢526.316Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY16.4¢223.537Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY28.0¢1,060Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL77.0¢103.41Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢51.29Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢100Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢8.973Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢4.327Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢50Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL70.9¢374.41Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL69.1¢11.23Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL8.7¢386.56Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?SELL45.5¢600.25Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL8.7¢2.184Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY30.0¢72.74Mar 4
Trump sued over tariff powers again by March 31?SELL3.4¢256.41Mar 4
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?SELL1.5¢628.35Mar 4
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?BUY28.0¢166.62Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL16.1¢253.41Mar 4
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL2.8¢322.58Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%68%< 10%15%10–20%9%20–30%8%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.4%
Win Consistency27.0%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity1,712 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7285d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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