0xf7f0c8...b6f6aa

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.8%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

240

Sharpe Ratio

-0.45

Sortino Ratio

-0.55

Max Drawdown

360.3%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

22.51

Kelly Fraction

0.791

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

029.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	65.57	Mar 5
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	94.3¢	53.71	Mar 5
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	13.13	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	10.58	Mar 4
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	30	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	96.9¢	59.55	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.0¢	49.55	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.1¢	60.74	Mar 4
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.1¢	60.74	Mar 4
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	SELL	97.4¢	58.52	Mar 3
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series?	BUY	97.6¢	58.52	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.2¢	52.73	Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	52.73	Mar 3
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.7¢	63.14	Mar 2
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	93.9¢	63.13	Feb 25
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	94.0¢	61.54	Feb 13
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	94.2¢	61.54	Feb 13
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	93.1¢	67.51	Feb 13
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	93.3¢	67.5	Feb 13

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing29.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.60

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.5%

Win Consistency38.0%

Profit Factor0.76

Drawdown Resilience0.61

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61

Weekly Sharpe est.0.47

Trading Activity240 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$6512d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue