0xf8086d...eb6e99

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

-$8.3K

Trade Count

2,414

Sharpe Ratio

0.18

Sortino Ratio

1.23

Max Drawdown

28798.3%

ROI

-3.6%

Profit Factor

0.70

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	SELL	49.0¢	60	Mar 5
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	62.0¢	60	Mar 4
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	BUY	58.0¢	34.483	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	72.0¢	2.84	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	4.87	Mar 4
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	52.5¢	100	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	20	Mar 3
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	38.0¢	20	Mar 3
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	4.878	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	7.0¢	180	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	47.0¢	63.83	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	46.5¢	64.5	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	45.0¢	111.159	Mar 3
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	34.0¢	2.32	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	SELL	1.5¢	500	Mar 2
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	BUY	71.0¢	80	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	1.0¢	476.98	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	1.0¢	23.013	Mar 2
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	SELL	34.0¢	20.521	Mar 2
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?	BUY	70.0¢	16.667	Mar 2

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.8%

Win Consistency39.0%

Profit Factor0.31

Drawdown Resilience0.25

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25

Weekly Sharpe est.0.19

Trading Activity2,414 trades · 97 active days

P&L Calendar

$43,89420d profit77d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue