0xf8202f...56a8c7

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.2%

Total P&L

-$185

Trade Count

809

Sharpe Ratio

2.39

Sortino Ratio

4.75

Max Drawdown

1608.9%

ROI

-11.7%

Profit Factor

0.08

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

06.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	SELL	11.0¢	3	Mar 5
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	13.0¢	3	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	15.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	35.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	45.0¢	2	Mar 5
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	SELL	42.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	83.2¢	1	Mar 5
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?	SELL	21.0¢	4	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	4.0¢	90	Mar 5
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	SELL	56.0¢	2	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	4.1¢	10	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	44.6¢	3	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	47.1¢	20	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	47.0¢	10	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	45.0¢	33	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	18.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	18.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	18.0¢	6	Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	18.0¢	6	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing6.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)6.2%

Win Consistency59.0%

Profit Factor0.18

Drawdown Resilience0.14

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.14

Weekly Sharpe est.0.11

Trading Activity809 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$2022d profit2d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue