0xf86119...d4681f

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.8%

Total P&L

-$38.4K

Trade Count

1,039

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

928.4%

ROI

-37.7%

Profit Factor

0.14

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	BUY	95.4¢	100	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	400	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	39.0¢	910	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	38.9¢	142.4	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	BUY	39.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	26.9¢	881.12	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	26.0¢	549.73	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.0¢	147	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	216.959	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	32.0¢	494.93	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	283.667	Feb 27
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	87.9¢	271.07	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	83.0¢	398.554	Feb 27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	39.5¢	186.36	Feb 27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	5.9¢	4,326.5	Feb 27
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	BUY	91.3¢	206.36	Feb 21

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency51.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity959 trades · 88 active days

P&L Calendar

$18,69820d profit63d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue