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0xf910cc...a87467

0xf910cc...a87467
Smart Score
30
Win Rate
76.0%
Total P&L
+$24.4K
Trade Count
951
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48
Sortino Ratio
-0.82
Max Drawdown
1140.9%
ROI
2.6%
Profit Factor
3.91
Kelly Fraction
0.566
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
030/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)BUY99.3¢3,000Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.5¢10,000Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.3¢10,000Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.7¢2,000Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?SELL30.0¢2,000Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY49.0¢500Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?BUY49.2¢1,500Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.3¢420Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.4¢38.5Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.4¢541.23Mar 2
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢89.48Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢199.16Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢5.365Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢34.74Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢39.23Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢33.67Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢31.44Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢5.365Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢25Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL93.2¢6.54Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%93%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%
Win Consistency67.7%
Profit Factor0.78
Drawdown Resilience0.63
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63
Weekly Sharpe est.0.48
Trading Activity951 trades · 65 active days
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P&L Calendar
$616,42812d profit53d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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