0xf92bfb...ff84af

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.5%

Total P&L

+$554

Trade Count

293

Sharpe Ratio

1.61

Sortino Ratio

100.41

Max Drawdown

6.2%

ROI

30.8%

Profit Factor

2.52

Kelly Fraction

0.257

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	87.0¢	3.05	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	34.0¢	5.81	Mar 5
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	SELL	48.0¢	6.2	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	43.0¢	7.78	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	SELL	66.0¢	4.99	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	SELL	0.1¢	50	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	40.5¢	12.34	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	84.0¢	5.95	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	48.0¢	6.2	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	67.0¢	1.96	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	BUY	67.0¢	3.03	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	3.3¢	20	Mar 3
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	37.0¢	27.02	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	48.0¢	14.41	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	68.0¢	44.12	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	BUY	29.0¢	20	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	2.09	Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	7.91	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.2%

Win Consistency86.7%

Profit Factor1.86

Drawdown Resilience1.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.50

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity293 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$3545d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue