0xf93b15...bfe871

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.5%

Total P&L

-$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.74

Sortino Ratio

-0.37

Max Drawdown

0.4%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.64

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 6?	BUY	99.5¢	31.156	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	167.167	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on February 24?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on February 24?	BUY	99.8¢	24.048	Feb 23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 16?	BUY	99.9¢	23.023	Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 37°C or higher on February 4?	BUY	99.8¢	30.06	Feb 4
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of January?	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 29
Will AnkiMobile Flashcards be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?	BUY	99.5¢	26.131	Jan 29
Will Dmitry "⁠sh1ro⁠" Sokolov win the HLTV Awper of the Year award	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 9
Will Dmitry "⁠sh1ro⁠" Sokolov win the HLTV Awper of the Year award	BUY	99.9¢	13.013	Jan 9
Will Garidmagnai "⁠bLitz⁠" Byambasuren win the HLTV IGL of the Year award	BUY	99.7¢	12.036	Jan 9
Will Drin "⁠Makazze⁠" Shaqiri win the HLTV Rookie of the Year award	BUY	99.9¢	6.006	Jan 9
Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	60.06	Dec 31
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	31.031	Dec 30
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	31.031	Dec 30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	9.009	Dec 30
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	9.009	Dec 30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 44°C or higher on December 30?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Dec 30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 29 above $160?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Dec 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.0%

Win Consistency75.0%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity19 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$5320d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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