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0xf9725d...3713b2

0xf9725d...3713b2
Smart Score
51
Win Rate
31.3%
Total P&L
-$11
Trade Count
146
Sharpe Ratio
2.65
Sortino Ratio
11.66
Max Drawdown
67.7%
ROI
-4.8%
Profit Factor
0.85
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?BUY19.0¢5.263Mar 5
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL2.9¢20.4Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.9¢20.408Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.1¢12Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL5.5¢5.59Mar 3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?SELL1.2¢3.03Mar 2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?BUY33.0¢3.03Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL21.8¢4.57Mar 2
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?SELL1.3¢2.7Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETBUY20.0¢5Mar 2
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY7.5¢13.333Mar 2
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.4¢8.065Mar 2
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?SELL88.0¢3.07Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 3?BUY8.6¢11.667Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 3?BUY20.0¢5Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?SELL2.2¢15.38Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4PM ETSELL0.1¢25.24Mar 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 4PM ETBUY16.0¢6.25Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?BUY6.5¢15.385Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%18%< 10%11%10–20%20%20–30%28%30–50%17%50–70%70–80%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.7%
Win Consistency55.3%
Profit Factor1.33
Drawdown Resilience1.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity146 trades · 7 active days
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P&L Calendar
$552d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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