0xf97332...cffc35

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.1%

Total P&L

+$2.4K

Trade Count

257

Sharpe Ratio

1.10

Sortino Ratio

12.56

Max Drawdown

247.9%

ROI

27.0%

Profit Factor

4.29

Kelly Fraction

0.553

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	75.2¢	40	Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	24.9¢	40	Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	90	Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.2¢	90	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	60.6¢	10	Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	61.1¢	10	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.3¢	30	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	3.8¢	30	Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	80	Mar 5
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.4¢	80	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.5¢	100	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	93.8¢	20	Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	95.8¢	40	Mar 4
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	96.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.9¢	80	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	98.2¢	80	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	2.5¢	50	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	50	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.6%

Win Consistency37.7%

Profit Factor1.27

Drawdown Resilience1.03

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.03

Weekly Sharpe est.0.78

Trading Activity257 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,1450d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue