0xf99509...06d627

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.1%

Total P&L

+$17

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.34

Max Drawdown

169.1%

ROI

6.1%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.139

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	14.0¢	32.19	Mar 5
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	24.0¢	20.833	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	44.0¢	11.364	Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	8.6¢	116.219	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	SELL	14.0¢	19.35	Mar 2
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?	BUY	15.5¢	19.355	Mar 2
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	16.0¢	72.26	Mar 2
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	12.9¢	31.83	Mar 2
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	15.7¢	31.835	Mar 2
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	32.1¢	21.5	Mar 1
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	25.1¢	9.52	Mar 1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	23.0¢	43.478	Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?	SELL	0.5¢	142.85	Mar 1
Will UK strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.7¢	28.79	Mar 1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st?	BUY	0.7¢	142.857	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	20.8¢	66.66	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	SELL	5.8¢	43.47	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	15.0¢	66.667	Mar 1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	2.3¢	43.478	Mar 1
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	9.3¢	21.505	Mar 1

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.0%

Win Consistency31.6%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity49 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

+$177d profit8d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue