0xf999ba...71a44e

Smart Score

Win Rate

85.7%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.37

Sortino Ratio

3.37

Max Drawdown

28.0%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

10.02

Kelly Fraction

0.772

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

071.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	14.014	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	19.289	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Feb 27
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	47.241	Feb 27
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	17.017	Feb 24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.3¢	7.049	Feb 18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.9¢	35.035	Feb 14
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of February?	BUY	99.2¢	34.274	Feb 9
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	9.045	Jan 13
Will "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	BUY	99.9¢	8.008	Jan 12
Will "back to friends - sombr" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?	BUY	99.9¢	8.008	Jan 12
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	BUY	99.8¢	9.018	Jan 2
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	SELL	99.9¢	10,000	Dec 29
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	10,000	Dec 29
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	131.131	Dec 27
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Dec 23
Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Dec 22
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Dec 22
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	5.027	Dec 22
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	6.036	Dec 22

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active71.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.1%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.86

Drawdown Resilience1.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.50

Weekly Sharpe est.1.14

Trading Activity25 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$4000d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue